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Powered by Kalshi2028 Democratic Presidential ticket·Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear·97.7%(+93.7%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·4%(-85%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·77%(+59%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·54%(-35%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·61%(+32%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 58·56%(-31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·56%(+27%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)GA-13 special election winner?·Marcye Scott·43%(+26%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?·$15 Minimum Wage by 2029·26%(-24%)
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Summary

Karen Bass, ≥2% is favored at 53% as of 10 Jul 2026, 00:02 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Karen Bass, ≥2%: 53% (24h change 0%)
  • Karen Bass, ≥4%: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • Karen Bass, ≥8%: 38% (24h change 0%)
  • Karen Bass, ≥6%: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Karen Bass, ≥10%: 9% (24h change 0%)
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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

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