Live market summary
Steve Scalise is favored at 7.2% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Steve Scalise: 7.2% (24h change -6.8%)
- Randall Arrington: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: LA-01 Republican nominee?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in LA-01 Republican nominee?
Steve Scalise is favored at 7.2% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for LA-01 Republican nominee?
Steve Scalise: 7.2%; Randall Arrington: 0.2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.