Live market summary
Mike Johnson is favored at 11% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC across 3 markets.
- Mike Johnson: 11% (24h change -3%)
- Josh Morott: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
- Mike Nichols: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
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LA-04 Republican nominee?
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About this market
Market question: LA-04 Republican nominee?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in LA-04 Republican nominee?
Mike Johnson is favored at 11% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for LA-04 Republican nominee?
Mike Johnson: 11%; Josh Morott: 0.3%; Mike Nichols: 0.3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.