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Powered by KalshiHI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Ed Case, ≥15%·99%(+88%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Spencer Meline·99%(+75%)NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026?·Tim Moffitt·6%(-67%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·69%(+61%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 35%·64%(+59%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99.9%(+53.9%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99%(+50%)When will the UK's social media ban take effect?·Before Aug 1, 2027·34%(-44%)Wisconsin Attorney General winner?·Republican party·15%(-43%)Ohio's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 6+ pts·58%(+42%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Adam Crum·47%(+40.5%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·14%(-38%)Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?·Before Jan 1, 2027·52%(+33%)FL-25 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Jared Moskowitz, ≥25%·75%(+28%)CO-04 House winner?·Eileen Laubacher·7.8%(-27.2%)
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Summary

Before Jan 31, 2028 is favored at 85% as of 9 Aug 2026, 21:04 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 31, 2028: 85% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jun 1, 2027: 62% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Nov 1, 2026: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Dec 1, 2026: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Oct 1, 2026: 3% (24h change -1%)
  • Before Sep 1, 2026: 1% (24h change 0%)
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