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Live market summary

Exactly 1 is favored at 41% as of 5 Oct 2026, 16:36 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Exactly 1: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Exactly 2: 29% (24h change +1%)
  • Exactly 3: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • 5 or more: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Exactly 4: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Exactly 0: 3.4% (24h change 0%)
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How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

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Exactly 2

29%
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Market question: How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

Exactly 1 is favored at 41% as of 5 Oct 2026, 16:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

Exactly 1: 41%; Exactly 2: 29%; Exactly 3: 16%; 5 or more: 14%; Exactly 4: 13%; Exactly 0: 3.4%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.