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Summary

Republicans, 13+ pts is favored at 91.8% as of 5 Aug 2026, 18:03 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 13+ pts: 91.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 10+ pts: 90.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 16+ pts: 88% (24h change +3%)
  • Republicans, 19+ pts: 78% (24h change -3%)
  • Republicans, 22+ pts: 65% (24h change -5%)
  • Republicans, 25+ pts: 52% (24h change -1%)
  • Republicans, 28+ pts: 36% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 31+ pts: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 34+ pts: 8.9% (24h change 0%)
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Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory

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