Shah, 2+ pts is favored at 66% as of 19 Sep 2026, 19:06 UTC across 6 markets.
- Shah, 2+ pts: 66% (24h change 0%)
- Shah, 5+ pts: 58% (24h change 0%)
- Shah, 8+ pts: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Shah, 11+ pts: 28% (24h change +4%)
- Shah, 14+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Shah, 17+ pts: 5.9% (24h change 0%)
Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
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Market question: Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arizona's 1st District margin of victory?
Shah, 2+ pts is favored at 66% as of 19 Sep 2026, 19:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arizona's 1st District margin of victory?
Shah, 2+ pts: 66%; Shah, 5+ pts: 58%; Shah, 8+ pts: 38%; Shah, 11+ pts: 28%; Shah, 14+ pts: 15%; Shah, 17+ pts: 5.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.