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Live market summary

Stanton, 4+ pts is favored at 92.5% as of 15 Sep 2026, 18:35 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Stanton, 4+ pts: 92.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Stanton, 16+ pts: 56% (24h change 0%)
  • Stanton, 13+ pts: 56% (24h change 0%)
  • Stanton, 19+ pts: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Stanton, 22+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Stanton, 25+ pts: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Stanton, 28+ pts: 8.1% (24h change 0%)
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Arizona's 4th District margin of victory

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Market question: Arizona's 4th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Arizona's 4th District margin of victory?

Stanton, 4+ pts is favored at 92.5% as of 15 Sep 2026, 18:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Arizona's 4th District margin of victory?

Stanton, 4+ pts: 92.5%; Stanton, 16+ pts: 56%; Stanton, 13+ pts: 56%; Stanton, 19+ pts: 51%; Stanton, 22+ pts: 37%; Stanton, 25+ pts: 25%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.