Bera, 14+ pts is favored at 81% as of 23 Sep 2026, 21:07 UTC across 5 markets.
- Bera, 14+ pts: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Bera, 17+ pts: 73% (24h change 0%)
- Bera, 23+ pts: 47% (24h change 0%)
- Bera, 26+ pts: 35% (24h change 0%)
- Bera, 29+ pts: 7.4% (24h change 0%)
California's 3rd District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: California's 3rd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California's 3rd District margin of victory?
Bera, 14+ pts is favored at 81% as of 23 Sep 2026, 21:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California's 3rd District margin of victory?
Bera, 14+ pts: 81%; Bera, 17+ pts: 73%; Bera, 23+ pts: 47%; Bera, 26+ pts: 35%; Bera, 29+ pts: 7.4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.