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Live market summary

Carbajal, 23+ pts is favored at 58% as of 24 Oct 2026, 18:35 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Carbajal, 23+ pts: 58% (24h change 0%)
  • Carbajal, 26+ pts: 49% (24h change -5%)
  • Carbajal, 29+ pts: 39% (24h change 0%)
  • Carbajal, 32+ pts: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • Carbajal, 35+ pts: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Carbajal, 38+ pts: 11% (24h change 0%)
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California's 24th District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: California's 24th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in California's 24th District margin of victory?

Carbajal, 23+ pts is favored at 58% as of 24 Oct 2026, 18:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for California's 24th District margin of victory?

Carbajal, 23+ pts: 58%; Carbajal, 26+ pts: 49%; Carbajal, 29+ pts: 39%; Carbajal, 32+ pts: 35%; Carbajal, 35+ pts: 11%; Carbajal, 38+ pts: 11%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.