Garcia, 23+ pts is favored at 74% as of 28 Sep 2026, 22:04 UTC across 6 markets.
- Garcia, 23+ pts: 74% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 20+ pts: 68% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 29+ pts: 49% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 26+ pts: 43% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 38+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 35+ pts: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
California's 42nd District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: California's 42nd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California's 42nd District margin of victory?
Garcia, 23+ pts is favored at 74% as of 28 Sep 2026, 22:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California's 42nd District margin of victory?
Garcia, 23+ pts: 74%; Garcia, 20+ pts: 68%; Garcia, 29+ pts: 49%; Garcia, 26+ pts: 43%; Garcia, 38+ pts: 13%; Garcia, 35+ pts: 9.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.