Live market summary
Vargas, 33+ pts is favored at 39% as of 3 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Vargas, 33+ pts: 39% (24h change 0%)
- Vargas, 39+ pts: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
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California's 52nd District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: California's 52nd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California's 52nd District margin of victory?
Vargas, 33+ pts is favored at 39% as of 3 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California's 52nd District margin of victory?
Vargas, 33+ pts: 39%; Vargas, 39+ pts: 9.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.