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Live market summary

Himes, 21+ pts is favored at 89% as of 15 Sep 2026, 19:08 UTC across 2 markets.

  • Himes, 21+ pts: 89% (24h change 0%)
  • Himes, 36+ pts: 35% (24h change 0%)
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Connecticut's 4th District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: Connecticut's 4th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Connecticut's 4th District margin of victory?

Himes, 21+ pts is favored at 89% as of 15 Sep 2026, 19:08 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Connecticut's 4th District margin of victory?

Himes, 21+ pts: 89%; Himes, 36+ pts: 35%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.