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Powered by KalshiWho will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·11%(-87%)Clacton by-election margin of victory?·Reform UK, ≥45%·7%(-63%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·10%(-60%)When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(-54%)TN-05 House winner?·Chaz Molder·6.5%(-53.5%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 5·99%(+53%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·60%(+51.3%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·66%(+48%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·28%(-44%)FL-05 Republican nominee?·Mark Kaye·12%(-42%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·Matthew Schultz·78%(+40%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Apr 1, 2027·63%(+40%)FL-03 Democratic nominee?·Seth Harp·55%(-40%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 1·5%(-40%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/7-8/14)?·Above 38.6%·90%(+40%)
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Summary

Democrats, 5+ pts is favored at 90.5% as of 13 Aug 2026, 23:04 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 5+ pts: 90.5% (24h change +90.5%)
  • Democrats, 8+ pts: 81% (24h change +81%)
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Georgia's 2nd District margin of victory

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Democrats, 5+ pts

90.5%
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