Democrats, 23+ pts is favored at 75% as of 16 Aug 2026, 09:03 UTC across 3 markets.
- Democrats, 23+ pts: 75% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 29+ pts: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 32+ pts: 46% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Hawaii Governor margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Hawaii Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 23+ pts is favored at 75% as of 16 Aug 2026, 09:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Hawaii Governor margin of victory?
Democrats, 23+ pts: 75%; Democrats, 29+ pts: 57%; Democrats, 32+ pts: 46%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.