Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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Will Janet Mills drop out of the Maine Senate Democratic primary in Apr 2026?
·
Before May 1, 2026
·
98%
(+95%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Kamala Harris
·
7.3%
(-75.7%)
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
·
Graham Platner, ≥50%
·
87%
(+67%)
LA-06 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
68%
(+62.7%)
How long will the next FISA authorization be?
·
At least 90 days
·
7%
(-59%)
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
·
Stephen Miran
·
41%
(-25%)
How long will the government shutdown last?
·
At least 95 days
·
30%
(-25%)
Who will be arrested before 2027?
·
Letitia James
·
39%
(+24%)
LA-02 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
24%
(+23.8%)
When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
54%
(-22%)
Ohio State House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
11%
(-20%)
How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
·
At least 3
·
69%
(-18%)
When will DHS be funded again?
·
Before May 22, 2026
·
79%
(+18%)
Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
61%
(-18%)
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
·
Keith Sonderling
·
36%
(-17%)
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Kalshi
Will Janet Mills drop out of the Maine Senate Democratic primary in Apr 2026?
·
Before May 1, 2026
·
98%
(+95%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Kamala Harris
·
7.3%
(-75.7%)
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
·
Graham Platner, ≥50%
·
87%
(+67%)
LA-06 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
68%
(+62.7%)
How long will the next FISA authorization be?
·
At least 90 days
·
7%
(-59%)
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
·
Stephen Miran
·
41%
(-25%)
How long will the government shutdown last?
·
At least 95 days
·
30%
(-25%)
Who will be arrested before 2027?
·
Letitia James
·
39%
(+24%)
LA-02 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
24%
(+23.8%)
When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
54%
(-22%)
Ohio State House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
11%
(-20%)
How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
·
At least 3
·
69%
(-18%)
When will DHS be funded again?
·
Before May 22, 2026
·
79%
(+18%)
Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
61%
(-18%)
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
·
Keith Sonderling
·
36%
(-17%)
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Volume
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Democrats, 3+ pts
52
%
—
0
Trade ↗
Democrats, 6+ pts
30
%
—
450
Trade ↗
Democrats, 9+ pts
15
%
—
452
Trade ↗
Democrats, 12+ pts
8.3
%
—
50
Trade ↗
Democrats, 15+ pts
2.1
%
—
1
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