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Democrats, 3+ pts is favored at 56% as of 11 Sep 2026, 22:13 UTC across 5 markets.

  • Democrats, 3+ pts: 56% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 6+ pts: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 9+ pts: 25% (24h change +4%)
  • Democrats, 12+ pts: 6.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 15+ pts: 4.2% (24h change 0%)
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Iowa Governor margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: Iowa Governor margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Iowa Governor margin of victory?

Democrats, 3+ pts is favored at 56% as of 11 Sep 2026, 22:13 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Iowa Governor margin of victory?

Democrats, 3+ pts: 56%; Democrats, 6+ pts: 31%; Democrats, 9+ pts: 25%; Democrats, 12+ pts: 6.9%; Democrats, 15+ pts: 4.2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.