Garcia, 27+ pts is favored at 94.2% as of 16 Sep 2026, 12:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- Garcia, 27+ pts: 94.2% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 45+ pts: 29% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 48+ pts: 18% (24h change 0%)
- Garcia, 51+ pts: 9.1% (24h change 0%)
Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Illinois's 4th District margin of victory?
Garcia, 27+ pts is favored at 94.2% as of 16 Sep 2026, 12:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Illinois's 4th District margin of victory?
Garcia, 27+ pts: 94.2%; Garcia, 45+ pts: 29%; Garcia, 48+ pts: 18%; Garcia, 51+ pts: 9.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.