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Powered by KalshiMI-08 Republican nominee?·Thomas J Smith·99%(+97%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-95%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%·99%(+94%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·1%(-92%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·99%(+90%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Andrew Jones·1%(-89%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-86%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·99%(+86%)Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·14%(-81%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Nate Powell·4%(-80%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·93%(+78%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent·At least 53%·1%(-69%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Kshama Sawant·1%(-69%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 13+ pts·37%(-55%)Kansas Supreme Court Election Method Amendment·Who will win the 2026 Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment?·1%(-52%)
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Summary

Democrats, 5+ pts is favored at 98.8% as of 5 Aug 2026, 17:04 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 5+ pts: 98.8% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 8+ pts: 90.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 14+ pts: 65% (24h change +1%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 47% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 20+ pts: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 23+ pts: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 26+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 29+ pts: 7.7% (24h change 0%)
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Kansas's 3rd District margin of victory

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