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Powered by KalshiWho will be the next DNC Chair?·David Hogg·98.4%(+93.4%)Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?·Rahul Gandhi·88%(+80%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·87%(+76%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$52.5 trillion·91%(+72%)Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?·Philadelphia·93.4%(+70.4%)What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?·Argentina·27%(-62%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·94.2%(+60.2%)New Supreme Court justice confirmed?·Before 2028·69%(+52%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place·Ronaldo Caiado·65%(+45%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/24-7/31)?·Above 5.7%·98%(+44%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 38·54%(-43%)Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet Benjamin Netanyahu in Jul 2026?·Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet in person Benjamin Netanyahu before Aug 1, 2026?·99%(+40%)Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?·Eric Barlow·72%(+39%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 15·66%(+37%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·63%(+36%)
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Summary

Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 55% as of 12 Jul 2026, 13:33 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 5+ pts: 55% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 11+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 20+ pts: 9.3% (24h change 0%)
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Kansas Governor margin of victory

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