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Republicans, 20+ pts is favored at 89% as of 2 Oct 2026, 21:36 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Republicans, 20+ pts: 89% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 23+ pts: 75% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 26+ pts: 62% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 29+ pts: 53% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 32+ pts: 45% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 35+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 38+ pts: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 41+ pts: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 44+ pts: 6% (24h change 0%)
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Louisiana's 1st District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: Louisiana's 1st District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Louisiana's 1st District margin of victory?

Republicans, 20+ pts is favored at 89% as of 2 Oct 2026, 21:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Louisiana's 1st District margin of victory?

Republicans, 20+ pts: 89%; Republicans, 23+ pts: 75%; Republicans, 26+ pts: 62%; Republicans, 29+ pts: 53%; Republicans, 32+ pts: 45%; Republicans, 35+ pts: 37%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.