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Republicans, 36+ pts is favored at 62% as of 13 Aug 2026, 23:34 UTC across 5 markets.

  • Republicans, 36+ pts: 62% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 39+ pts: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 42+ pts: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 45+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 57+ pts: 10% (24h change 0%)
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Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory

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Market question: Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory?

Republicans, 36+ pts is favored at 62% as of 13 Aug 2026, 23:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory?

Republicans, 36+ pts: 62%; Republicans, 39+ pts: 51%; Republicans, 42+ pts: 25%; Republicans, 45+ pts: 20%; Republicans, 57+ pts: 10%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.