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Powered by KalshiWho will be the next DNC Chair?·David Hogg·98.4%(+93.4%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·94%(+83%)Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?·Rahul Gandhi·88%(+80%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$52.5 trillion·91%(+72%)Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?·Philadelphia·93.4%(+70.4%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Brett Hueffmeier·72%(+68%)What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?·Argentina·27%(-62%)Will Congress keep 5mg hemp THC beverages federally legal?·Before Nov 13, 2026·88%(+61%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·94.2%(+60.2%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 31, 2026?·Below 40.2·73%(+53%)New Supreme Court justice confirmed?·Before 2028·69%(+52%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place·Ronaldo Caiado·65%(+45%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 38·54%(-43%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/24-7/31)?·Above 5.7%·95%(+41%)Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?·Eric Barlow·72%(+39%)
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Summary

Democrats, 3+ pts is favored at 90% as of 18 Jul 2026, 01:33 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 3+ pts: 90% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 9+ pts: 62% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 6+ pts: 61% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 15+ pts: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 18+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 21+ pts: 12% (24h change 0%)
governor6 marketsLIVE

Maine Governor margin of victory

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