Live market summary
Democrats, 3+ pts is favored at 89% as of 22 Sep 2026, 06:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Democrats, 3+ pts: 89% (24h change -5.6%)
- Democrats, 6+ pts: 76% (24h change -17.3%)
house2 marketsLIVE
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
Trade ↗All options
Odds history
Loading chart
About this market
Market question: Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Missouri's 5th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 3+ pts is favored at 89% as of 22 Sep 2026, 06:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Missouri's 5th District margin of victory?
Democrats, 3+ pts: 89%; Democrats, 6+ pts: 76%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.