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Live market summary

Murphy, 3+ pts is favored at 79% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC across 4 markets.

  • Murphy, 3+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Murphy, 6+ pts: 55% (24h change 0%)
  • Murphy, 18+ pts: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Murphy, 24+ pts: 11% (24h change 0%)
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North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory?

Murphy, 3+ pts is favored at 79% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory?

Murphy, 3+ pts: 79%; Murphy, 6+ pts: 55%; Murphy, 18+ pts: 19%; Murphy, 24+ pts: 11%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.