Live market summary
Smith, 13+ pts is favored at 94.4% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC across 1 market.
- Smith, 13+ pts: 94.4% (24h change 0%)
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New Jersey's 4th District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: New Jersey's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New Jersey's 4th District margin of victory?
Smith, 13+ pts is favored at 94.4% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:15 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New Jersey's 4th District margin of victory?
Smith, 13+ pts: 94.4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.