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Summary

Democrats, 1+ pts is favored at 91.5% as of 31 Jul 2026, 19:33 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 1+ pts: 91.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 4+ pts: 80% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 7+ pts: 66% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 10+ pts: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 13+ pts: 38% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 16+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 19+ pts: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 25+ pts: 4.9% (24h change 0%)
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Nevada's 4th District margin of victory

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