Dean, 12+ pts is favored at 87% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:36 UTC across 5 markets.
- Dean, 12+ pts: 87% (24h change 0%)
- Dean, 15+ pts: 80% (24h change 0%)
- Dean, 21+ pts: 59% (24h change 0%)
- Dean, 24+ pts: 49% (24h change 0%)
- Dean, 36+ pts: 12% (24h change 0%)
Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory?
Dean, 12+ pts is favored at 87% as of 15 Sep 2026, 20:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory?
Dean, 12+ pts: 87%; Dean, 15+ pts: 80%; Dean, 21+ pts: 59%; Dean, 24+ pts: 49%; Dean, 36+ pts: 12%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.