Democrats, 7+ pts is favored at 98.9% as of 12 Sep 2026, 18:35 UTC across 8 markets.
- Democrats, 7+ pts: 98.9% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 4+ pts: 98.6% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 10+ pts: 91.2% (24h change +0.2%)
- Democrats, 13+ pts: 79% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 16+ pts: 63% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 19+ pts: 47% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 22+ pts: 33% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 28+ pts: 14% (24h change 0%)
Josh Shapiro margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Josh Shapiro margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Josh Shapiro margin of victory?
Democrats, 7+ pts is favored at 98.9% as of 12 Sep 2026, 18:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Josh Shapiro margin of victory?
Democrats, 7+ pts: 98.9%; Democrats, 4+ pts: 98.6%; Democrats, 10+ pts: 91.2%; Democrats, 13+ pts: 79%; Democrats, 16+ pts: 63%; Democrats, 19+ pts: 47%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.