Live market summary
Self, 10+ pts is favored at 78% as of 23 Sep 2026, 11:35 UTC across 3 markets.
- Self, 10+ pts: 78% (24h change 0%)
- Self, 13+ pts: 71% (24h change 0%)
- Self, 25+ pts: 26% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Texas's 3rd District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Texas's 3rd District margin of victory?
Self, 10+ pts is favored at 78% as of 23 Sep 2026, 11:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Texas's 3rd District margin of victory?
Self, 10+ pts: 78%; Self, 13+ pts: 71%; Self, 25+ pts: 26%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.