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Live market summary

Castro, 33+ pts is favored at 78% as of 7 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC across 5 markets.

  • Castro, 33+ pts: 78% (24h change 0%)
  • Castro, 42+ pts: 62% (24h change 0%)
  • Castro, 39+ pts: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • Castro, 48+ pts: 47% (24h change 0%)
  • Castro, 45+ pts: 32% (24h change 0%)
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Texas's 20th District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: Texas's 20th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Texas's 20th District margin of victory?

Castro, 33+ pts is favored at 78% as of 7 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Texas's 20th District margin of victory?

Castro, 33+ pts: 78%; Castro, 42+ pts: 62%; Castro, 39+ pts: 60%; Castro, 48+ pts: 47%; Castro, 45+ pts: 32%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.