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Live market summary

Republicans, 3+ pts is favored at 70% as of 11 Sep 2026, 19:36 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Republicans, 3+ pts: 70% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 6+ pts: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 9+ pts: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 15+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 12+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 18+ pts: 7.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 21+ pts: 6.1% (24h change 0%)
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Texas Governor margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: Texas Governor margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Texas Governor margin of victory?

Republicans, 3+ pts is favored at 70% as of 11 Sep 2026, 19:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Texas Governor margin of victory?

Republicans, 3+ pts: 70%; Republicans, 6+ pts: 43%; Republicans, 9+ pts: 27%; Republicans, 15+ pts: 15%; Republicans, 12+ pts: 13%; Republicans, 18+ pts: 7.2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.