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Live market summary

McClellan, 15+ pts is favored at 94% as of 19 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC across 8 markets.

  • McClellan, 15+ pts: 94% (24h change 0%)
  • McClellan, 18+ pts: 92.3% (24h change 0%)
  • McClellan, 24+ pts: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • McClellan, 27+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • McClellan, 33+ pts: 83% (24h change 0%)
  • McClellan, 21+ pts: 83% (24h change 0%)
  • McClellan, 30+ pts: 80% (24h change +10%)
  • McClellan, 36+ pts: 75% (24h change 0%)
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Virginia's 4th District margin of victory

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About this market

Market question: Virginia's 4th District margin of victory

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Virginia's 4th District margin of victory?

McClellan, 15+ pts is favored at 94% as of 19 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Virginia's 4th District margin of victory?

McClellan, 15+ pts: 94%; McClellan, 18+ pts: 92.3%; McClellan, 24+ pts: 88%; McClellan, 27+ pts: 86%; McClellan, 33+ pts: 83%; McClellan, 21+ pts: 83%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.