Baumgartner, 5+ pts is favored at 64% as of 22 Oct 2026, 17:06 UTC across 6 markets.
- Baumgartner, 5+ pts: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Baumgartner, 2+ pts: 62% (24h change 0%)
- Baumgartner, 8+ pts: 48% (24h change 0%)
- Baumgartner, 14+ pts: 34% (24h change 0%)
- Baumgartner, 11+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Baumgartner, 20+ pts: 9.2% (24h change 0%)
Washington's 5th District margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Washington's 5th District margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Washington's 5th District margin of victory?
Baumgartner, 5+ pts is favored at 64% as of 22 Oct 2026, 17:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Washington's 5th District margin of victory?
Baumgartner, 5+ pts: 64%; Baumgartner, 2+ pts: 62%; Baumgartner, 8+ pts: 48%; Baumgartner, 14+ pts: 34%; Baumgartner, 11+ pts: 24%; Baumgartner, 20+ pts: 9.2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.