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Powered by KalshiMO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·99%(+89%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Paul Berry III·99%(+87%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·92%(+84%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-70%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·18%(-69%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Douglas Michael Basler·16%(-64%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 60·14%(-55%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 13+ pts·37%(-55%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%·1%(-51%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Lore Bergman·7%(-49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-48%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Mateus Simões·61%(+48%)
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Summary

Above 10.9M is favored at 82% as of 4 Aug 2026, 18:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 10.9M: 82% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 11.5M: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 12M: 68% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 12.6M: 47% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 13.1M: 25% (24h change 0%)
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California Governor General Election: voter turnout

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