Powered by KalshiWisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?·Francesca Hong·0.1%(-96.2%)MN-03 Republican nominee?·Quentin Wittrock·1%(-93%)John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?·Before Oct 1, 2026·6%(-92%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·98%(+90.9%)Minnesota Senate Democratic primary: Angie Craig vote percent·At least 42%·2%(-85%)Florida's 18th District margin of victory·Republicans, 28+ pts·97.6%(+83.6%)Who will visit the White House in 2026?·Jaxson Dart·97%(+83%)MN-05 Republican nominee?·John Nagel·99%(+78%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·93%(+76%)Will El-Sayed, Flanagan, and Hong win their primaries?·Will progressives sweep key midwest primaries?·2%(-73%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)·Darline Graham, 5-10%·99%(+72%)Alaska House winner?·Bill Hill·94%(+70%)Minnesota Senate Democratic primary: Peggy Flanagan vote percent·At least 57%·99%(+69%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 40%·70%(+68%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·85%(+66%)

Powered by KalshiWisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?·Francesca Hong·0.1%(-96.2%)MN-03 Republican nominee?·Quentin Wittrock·1%(-93%)John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?·Before Oct 1, 2026·6%(-92%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·98%(+90.9%)Minnesota Senate Democratic primary: Angie Craig vote percent·At least 42%·2%(-85%)Florida's 18th District margin of victory·Republicans, 28+ pts·97.6%(+83.6%)Who will visit the White House in 2026?·Jaxson Dart·97%(+83%)MN-05 Republican nominee?·John Nagel·99%(+78%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·93%(+76%)Will El-Sayed, Flanagan, and Hong win their primaries?·Will progressives sweep key midwest primaries?·2%(-73%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)·Darline Graham, 5-10%·99%(+72%)Alaska House winner?·Bill Hill·94%(+70%)Minnesota Senate Democratic primary: Peggy Flanagan vote percent·At least 57%·99%(+69%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 40%·70%(+68%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·85%(+66%)

Summary

Above 400K is favored at 16% as of 12 Aug 2026, 14:04 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

house2 marketsLIVE

Oregon 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Odds history

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Above 400K

16%

▲ +16%

$481

Above 420K

5%

▲ +5%

$400