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Live market summary

At least 206 is favored at 53% as of 22 Sep 2026, 15:06 UTC across 5 markets.

  • At least 206: 53% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 214: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 218: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 230: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 234: 2% (24h change 0%)
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How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

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About this market

Market question: How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

At least 206 is favored at 53% as of 22 Sep 2026, 15:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

At least 206: 53%; At least 214: 21%; At least 218: 14%; At least 230: 6%; At least 234: 2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.