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Powered by KalshiWho will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·89%(+49%)How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?·Exactly 2·57%(+48.5%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·66%(+47%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥12%·5%(-45%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary: Seth Moulton vote percent·At least 35%·92%(+45%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·16%(-40%)Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?·France·6.8%(-39.2%)When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?·Before Dec 1, 2026·8%(-39%)Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?·Before 2028·75%(+38%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 55%·8%(-36%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·25%(-34%)Which lists will win a Knesset seat?·Religious Zionist Party·41%(-34%)Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?·On Nov 22, 2027·42%(-34%)New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)·Chris Pappas, ≥25%·68%(+33%)

Live market summary

Cadu de Lula is favored at 20% as of 3 Sep 2026, 06:33 UTC across 2 markets.

governor2 marketsLIVE

Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?

Odds history

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All options

Cadu de Lula

20%

—

$30

Alvaro Dias

16%

—

$170

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?

Cadu de Lula is favored at 20% as of 3 Sep 2026, 06:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?

Cadu de Lula: 20%; Alvaro Dias: 16%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.