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Live market summary

Hakeem Jeffries is favored at 80% as of 24 Sep 2026, 21:07 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Hakeem Jeffries: 80% (24h change 0%)
  • Mike Johnson: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Tom Emmer: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Steve Scalise: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Jim Jordan: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Aguilar: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Katherine Clark: 2% (24h change 0%)
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120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

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About this market

Market question: 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

Hakeem Jeffries is favored at 80% as of 24 Sep 2026, 21:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

Hakeem Jeffries: 80%; Mike Johnson: 14%; Tom Emmer: 5%; Steve Scalise: 3%; Jim Jordan: 3%; Pete Aguilar: 3%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.