Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
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Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
0.1%
(-83.9%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
0%
(-83%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Mike Collins vote percent
·
40% - 45%
·
27%
(-62%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
32%
(-44%)
FL-27 Democratic nominee?
·
Robin Peguero
·
22%
(-42%)
FL-16 Democratic nominee?
·
Jan Schneider
·
23%
(-37%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
10%
(-34%)
CA-37 primary: Who will advance?
·
Baltazar Fedalizo
·
61%
(+31%)
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 3+ pts
·
28%
(-31%)
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
·
Diego Morales
·
3.1%
(-30.9%)
Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 1+ pts
·
31%
(+29.7%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
0.1%
(-83.9%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
0%
(-83%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Mike Collins vote percent
·
40% - 45%
·
27%
(-62%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
32%
(-44%)
FL-27 Democratic nominee?
·
Robin Peguero
·
22%
(-42%)
FL-16 Democratic nominee?
·
Jan Schneider
·
23%
(-37%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
10%
(-34%)
CA-37 primary: Who will advance?
·
Baltazar Fedalizo
·
61%
(+31%)
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 3+ pts
·
28%
(-31%)
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
·
Diego Morales
·
3.1%
(-30.9%)
Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 1+ pts
·
31%
(+29.7%)
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Volume
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10
25
%
—
0
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11
19
%
—
0
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12
13
%
—
0
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9
10
%
—
0
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14 and above
7.5
%
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0
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8
3.2
%
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0
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13
1.4
%
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0
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Below 8
1
%
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0
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