Live market summary
At least 50% is favored at 90% as of 12 Sep 2026, 11:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- At least 50%: 90% (24h change 0%)
- At least 52%: 88% (24h change 0%)
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CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent
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About this market
Market question: CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent?
At least 50% is favored at 90% as of 12 Sep 2026, 11:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent?
At least 50%: 90%; At least 52%: 88%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.