At least 50% is favored at 79% as of 5 Oct 2026, 19:06 UTC across 7 markets.
- At least 50%: 79% (24h change 0%)
- At least 52%: 67% (24h change 0%)
- At least 54%: 53% (24h change 0%)
- At least 56%: 37% (24h change 0%)
- At least 58%: 23% (24h change 0%)
- At least 60%: 12% (24h change 0%)
- At least 62%: 5% (24h change 0%)
WA-05 House election: Michael Baumgartner vote percent
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: WA-05 House election: Michael Baumgartner vote percent
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in WA-05 House election: Michael Baumgartner vote percent?
At least 50% is favored at 79% as of 5 Oct 2026, 19:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for WA-05 House election: Michael Baumgartner vote percent?
At least 50%: 79%; At least 52%: 67%; At least 54%: 53%; At least 56%: 37%; At least 58%: 23%; At least 60%: 12%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.