J.D. Vance is favored at 80% as of 5 Jul 2026, 22:35 UTC across 33 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

• J.D. Vance: 80% (24h change 0%)
• Ted Cruz: 72% (24h change 0%)
• Marco Rubio: 62% (24h change 0%)
• Ron DeSantis: 58% (24h change 0%)
• Glenn Youngkin: 43% (24h change 0%)
• Josh Hawley: 42% (24h change 0%)
• Thomas Massie: 39% (24h change -7%)
• Brian Kemp: 37% (24h change 0%)
• Rand Paul: 35% (24h change 0%)
• John McEntee: 34% (24h change 0%)
• Marjorie Taylor Greene: 32% (24h change 0%)
• Nikki Haley: 25% (24h change -3%)
• Steve Bannon: 25% (24h change 0%)
• Gregory Bovino: 24% (24h change 0%)
• Donald J. Trump Jr.: 21% (24h change 0%)
• Vivek Ramaswamy: 21% (24h change 0%)
• Matt Gaetz: 21% (24h change 0%)
• Tulsi Gabbard: 20% (24h change 0%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 20% (24h change 0%)
• Sarah Huckabee Sanders: 20% (24h change 0%)
• Tucker Carlson: 19% (24h change -6%)
• Spencer Pratt: 19% (24h change +3%)
• Greg Abbott: 17% (24h change 0%)
• Byron Donalds: 16% (24h change 0%)
• Erika Kirk: 16% (24h change 0%)
• Jared Kushner: 15% (24h change 0%)
• Pete Hegseth: 14% (24h change 0%)
• Jeff Bezos: 14% (24h change 0%)
• Katie Britt: 13% (24h change 0%)
• Elise Stefanik: 11% (24h change 0%)
• John Thune: 9.7% (24h change 0%)
• Donald J. Trump: 8.1% (24h change 0%)
• Elon Musk: 2.1% (24h change 0%)