J.D. Vance is favored at 87% as of 20 Sep 2026, 17:35 UTC across 35 markets.
- J.D. Vance: 87% (24h change 0%)
- Ted Cruz: 76% (24h change 0%)
- Ron DeSantis: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Marco Rubio: 52% (24h change +5%)
- Thomas Massie: 50% (24h change 0%)
- Glenn Youngkin: 39% (24h change 0%)
- Marjorie Taylor Greene: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Rand Paul: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Brian Kemp: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Donald J. Trump Jr.: 33% (24h change 0%)
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders: 27% (24h change 0%)
- Tucker Carlson: 26% (24h change -1%)
- Gregory Bovino: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Tulsi Gabbard: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Pete Hegseth: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Vivek Ramaswamy: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Steve Bannon: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Greg Abbott: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Nikki Haley: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Byron Donalds: 21% (24h change +1%)
- Donald J. Trump: 16% (24h change +2%)
- Elise Stefanik: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Katie Britt: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Jeff Bezos: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Spencer Pratt: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Erika Kirk: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Tim Scott: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Jared Kushner: 10% (24h change 0%)
- John McEntee: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Larry Hogan: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Josh Hawley: 7% (24h change +3.9%)
- Matt Gaetz: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Elon Musk: 2.4% (24h change 0%)
- John Thune: 1.6% (24h change 0%)
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
J.D. Vance is favored at 87% as of 20 Sep 2026, 17:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
J.D. Vance: 87%; Ted Cruz: 76%; Ron DeSantis: 64%; Marco Rubio: 52%; Thomas Massie: 50%; Glenn Youngkin: 39%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.