Live market summary
Iowa is favored at 22% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC across 20 markets.
- Iowa: 22% (24h change +6%)
- Texas: 17% (24h change +1%)
- Kansas: 10% (24h change +1%)
- Maine: 9.3% (24h change +0.3%)
- Ohio: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Nebraska: 8% (24h change +0.4%)
- Michigan: 7.9% (24h change 0%)
- Alaska: 7.5% (24h change 0%)
- South Carolina: 5% (24h change 0%)
- New Hampshire: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
- Minnesota: 2.9% (24h change +1.5%)
- Florida: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Idaho: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Georgia: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Montana: 1% (24h change 0%)
- South Dakota: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Louisiana: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Mississippi: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Arkansas: 1% (24h change 0%)
- North Carolina: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
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Closest Senate race in 2026?
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About this market
Market question: Closest Senate race in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Closest Senate race in 2026?
Iowa is favored at 22% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Closest Senate race in 2026?
Iowa: 22%; Texas: 17%; Kansas: 10%; Maine: 9.3%; Ohio: 8%; Nebraska: 8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.