Powered by KalshiFL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 40%·1%(-97%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·5%(-88%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+81%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 55%·99%(+79%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·83%(+78%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+77%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+76%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 40-50%·7%(-57%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 20%·2%(-57%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Bill Hill vote percent·At least 35%·1%(-54%)FL-02 Republican primary: Austin Rogers vote percent·At least 30%·98%(+53%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·2%(-52%)

Powered by KalshiFL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 40%·1%(-97%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-19 Republican primary: Jim Schwartzel vote percent·At least 30%·5%(-88%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+81%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 55%·99%(+79%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·83%(+78%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+77%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+76%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 40-50%·7%(-57%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 20%·2%(-57%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Bill Hill vote percent·At least 35%·1%(-54%)FL-02 Republican primary: Austin Rogers vote percent·At least 30%·98%(+53%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·2%(-52%)

Summary

Texas is favored at 17% as of 20 Aug 2026, 05:03 UTC across 17 markets. Kalshi odds.

senate17 marketsLIVE

Closest Senate race in 2026?

All options

Texas

17%

—

$37K

Iowa

14%

▼ -1%

$26K

Alaska

12%

—

$30K

Michigan

11%

—

$24K

Ohio

11%

—

$25K

Maine

9.4%

▲ +0.6%

$24K

Nebraska

6.9%

▲ +0.7%

$16K

Kansas

6%

▲ +1%

$12K

Florida

4%

▼ -2%

$16K

New Hampshire

3.1%

—

$10K

South Carolina

3%

—

$7K

North Carolina

2.9%

▲ +0.3%

$11K

Georgia

2.4%

▼ -0.7%

$25K

Minnesota

1.4%

—

$12K

Montana

1%

—

$13K

South Dakota

1%

—

$1K

Idaho

1%

—

$24K