Gavin Newsom is favored at 26% as of 12 Sep 2026, 04:35 UTC across 21 markets.
- Gavin Newsom: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Rahm Emanuel: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Ro Khanna: 16% (24h change -9%)
- Pete Buttigieg: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Kamala Harris: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Andy Beshear: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Cory Booker: 6% (24h change 0%)
- J.B. Pritzker: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Wes Moore: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Jon Ossoff: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Raphael Warnock: 5% (24h change 0%)
- James Talarico: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Josh Shapiro: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Andrew Yang: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Mitch Landrieu: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Stephen A. Smith: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Graham Platner: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Gretchen Whitmer: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Mark Kelly: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Gina Raimondo: 1% (24h change 0%)
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
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About this market
Market question: Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
Gavin Newsom is favored at 26% as of 12 Sep 2026, 04:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
Gavin Newsom: 26%; Rahm Emanuel: 26%; Ro Khanna: 16%; Pete Buttigieg: 9%; Kamala Harris: 8%; Andy Beshear: 7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.