Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWill Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·94.5%(+92.5%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+73%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Todd Warner·34%(-43%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·9%(-41%)FL-20 Democratic nominee?·Luther Campbell·42%(+38%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·3%(-38%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·45%(-35%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·10%(-29%)Who will AOC endorse?·Graham Platner·2%(-25%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·99%(+25%)Maine-Texas Senate Combo·Ken Paxton and Graham Platner·2%(-23%)AL-01 Republican nominee?·Jerry Carl·94%(+22%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·39%(+22%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/5 - 7/11)·Above 0·39%(-19%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·25 to 99·55%(+19%)
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Live summary

Gavin Newsom is favored at 34% as of 5 Jul 2026, 20:03 UTC across 12 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Gavin Newsom: 34% (24h change 0%)
  • Rahm Emanuel: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Kamala Harris: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Wes Moore: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Mitch Landrieu: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Cory Booker: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Ro Khanna: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Graham Platner: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Gina Raimondo: 1% (24h change 0%)
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