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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·84%(+72%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 35%·13%(-61%)New Hampshire State Senate winner?·Democratic party·97%(+58%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 75%·15%(-55%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·99.9%(+52.9%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·3%(-48%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·44%(-43%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·35%(-41%)Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?·State Question 845·76%(+37%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·25%(-35%)Michigan Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·72%(+34%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #175·10%(-34%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·62%(+32%)Michigan's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 4+ pts·35%(-30%)Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?·Amendment 3·83%(+30%)
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Summary

Gavin Newsom is favored at 28% as of 16 Aug 2026, 05:33 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Gavin Newsom: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Kamala Harris: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Beshear: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Shapiro: 6.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 4.9% (24h change +2.4%)
  • Jon Ossoff: 3.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Wes Moore: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Gretchen Whitmer: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
  • J.B. Pritzker: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
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Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

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