Live summary
Gavin Newsom is favored at 35% as of 5 Jul 2026, 04:32 UTC across 10 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.
- Gavin Newsom: 35% (24h change +7%)
- Kamala Harris: 22% (24h change -3%)
- Andy Beshear: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Josh Shapiro: 9.6% (24h change 0%)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 8.3% (24h change 0%)
- Jon Ossoff: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Pete Buttigieg: 7.2% (24h change 0%)
- Wes Moore: 6.8% (24h change 0%)
- J.B. Pritzker: 3.4% (24h change 0%)
- Gretchen Whitmer: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
Trade ↗Odds history
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