Andy Beshear is favored at 31% as of 5 Oct 2026, 00:04 UTC across 10 markets.
- Andy Beshear: 31% (24h change +7%)
- Pete Buttigieg: 27% (24h change 0%)
- Gavin Newsom: 19% (24h change 0%)
- Jon Ossoff: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 4.5% (24h change 0%)
- Josh Shapiro: 3.7% (24h change 0%)
- J.B. Pritzker: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
- Wes Moore: 2.1% (24h change 0%)
- Kamala Harris: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Gretchen Whitmer: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
Andy Beshear is favored at 31% as of 5 Oct 2026, 00:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
Andy Beshear: 31%; Pete Buttigieg: 27%; Gavin Newsom: 19%; Jon Ossoff: 10%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 4.5%; Josh Shapiro: 3.7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.