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Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·John Healey·99%(+98%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Lesil McGuire·90%(+89%)São Toméan presidential election winner?·Miques João Bonfim·1%(-89%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 8·99%(+87%)Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 0·99%(+84%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Rachel Reeves·3%(-66%)Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?·No new person·1%(-65%)Texas's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 2+ pts·38%(-59.4%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Nancy Mace·2%(-54%)Clacton by-election margin of victory?·Reform UK, ≥55%·51%(+44%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·19%(-41%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·53%(+40%)How many states will Trump visit in Jul 2026?·8·14%(-40%)Ottawa mayoral election winner?·Mark Sutcliffe·38%(-37%)Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(+36%)
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Summary

Below 53 is favored at 84% as of 21 Jul 2026, 00:05 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Below 53: 84% (24h change 0%)
  • 53: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • 54: 4.4% (24h change 0%)
  • 55: 1.4% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 57: 1.2% (24h change 0%)
  • 56: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
  • 57: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
senate7 marketsLIVE

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

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53

9%
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54

4.4%
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55

1.4%
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56

1.1%
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57

1.1%
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